Tuesday, 13 December 2016
So, what's going to happen in a year....
So, Labour high ups seem to think their polling numbers are going to improve considerable in 2017.
It makes one wonder - why might they think that? They're not going to change leader. they're not going to change direction. There are no national elections next year? So what's going to change?
Might this be the answer?
It might not be because they are going to do something. It might be because they are quite deliberately going to do nothing.
The one big thing that we (almost) certainly know next year is that the Brexit negotiations will begin. If they go spectacularly badly, the Tories will be punished. So, quite possibly will UKIP.
If they go spectacularly well - a scenario which puts us in a tricky position politically, as we'd like them to go well, whatever are beliefs - chances are our poll numbers will drop.
But as things stand, the 'party of the 0%' (what a great phrase that is) can jump either way, when they see which way the wind is blowing.
And that is the game I think Labour are playing - and why we get contradictory mood music from them all the time...
It's a cynical waiting game.
Posted by Richard Morris at 08:30