So, as many of you will know, I tracked every piece of press speculation since May on the reshuffle – kindly plugged by Andrew Sparrow in The Guardian on Monday – and now… the results are in.
So how did the pundits do? Between them, did they predict every position?
Here is the new Cabinet. It only includes members of the full cabinet, not folk ‘attending only’.
Green indicates someone, somewhere since May predicted the name in the role correctly
Red indicates that no one predicted the name in the role….
Prime Minister David Cameron
Deputy PM Nick Clegg
Chancellor George Osborne
Foreign Secretary William Hague
Home Secretary Theresa May
Chief Secretary Danny Alexander
Defence Philip Hammond
Health Jeremy Hunt
Justice Chris Grayling
Scotland Michael Moore
Wales David Jones
Northern Ireland Theresa Villiers
Business Vince Cable
Environment Owen Paterson
Energy Ed Davey
Leader, Lords Lord Strathclyde
Party Chairman Grant Shapps
Communities Eric Pickles
Work & Pensions Iain Duncan Smith
Transport Patrick McLoughlin
Int Development Justine Greening
DCMS Maria Miller
So - 6 departments have leaders who NO ONE in the media knew would be in post. Which I find quite extraordinary. Two - Lord Strathclyde and our own Michael Moore- were the incumbents!
What's more, it was almost 7. No one tipped Vince to stay in Business until Monday Lunchtime.
Which I guess goes to show that predicting re shuffles is very difficult.
And that the media don't have as much of the inside track as you might think